tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9947578.post112913012881859746..comments2023-11-03T07:41:09.149-04:00Comments on China e-Lobby: News of the Day (October 12)D.J. McGuirehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12301307129113882228noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9947578.post-1129150971621132312005-10-12T17:02:00.000-04:002005-10-12T17:02:00.000-04:00OK, I'll bite. China could send troops into North...OK, I'll bite. China could send troops into North Korea. That would be a short-term tragedy for Korea and a long-term opportunity for freedom in Asia. <BR/><BR/>Authoritarian states don't do guerrilla wars well, particularly since open public discussion of casualties is suppressed and tends to break out into the open in unpredicatable ways. <BR/><BR/>There's no way to be certain, but I suspect that if armed, the North Korean people would fight a Chinese occupation, and that a bloody insurgency could come at a very high political cost for the CCP. <BR/><BR/>I also suspect that if China intervenes, the nationalist dynamic in South Korea would swing wildly in support of the North Korean resistance, away from China, and toward the United States. Japan would also move much closer to the United States. Russia would seek to make mischief for China to curb Chinese hegemony over North Korea's east coast ports. <BR/><BR/>Plenty of states in that region would like to see China taken down a peg. So should we, if we are seeing things clearly.joshuahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16007360958500751376noreply@blogger.com